Risk Management of the Won/Dollar Spot and Futures Exchange Rates
- Risk Management of the Won/Dollar Spot and Futures Exchange Rates
- 임병진; 오창혁; 김도형
- Cointegration; ECT-GARCH; nonstationary; normal error terms; OLS; optimal hedging ratio; spot and futures price; VECM; won/dollar exchange rate.
- Issue Date
- 무역연구, v.10, no.1, pp.35 - 51
- This research has been conducted to determine the optimal hedging ratio of the spot and futures exchange rates in order to reduce exchange risks between the Korean won and the U.S. dollar. Using data of the won/dollar exchange rate spot and futures prices from the Korea Exchange, KRX, four methods were compared to obtain the hedging ratio: the naive method, the minimum variance hedging model, the vector error correction model, and GARCH with error correction model (ECT-GARCH). After comparing hedging performances of the models, the minimum variance hedging model outperformed others even though it does not take nonstationarity, cointegration relationship, and time variant property of the time series into account.
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- 경영대학 > 경영학과 > Articles
이과대학 > 통계학과 > Articles
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